Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000557 0.000637 0.000723 0.000820 0.000928 0.001043 0.001175
2025-07-20 0.000438 0.000550 0.000678 0.000834 0.001017 0.001224 0.001474
2025-07-27 0.000364 0.000489 0.000638 0.000827 0.001058 0.001329 0.001668
2025-08-03 0.000306 0.000435 0.000598 0.000812 0.001083 0.001411 0.001833
2025-08-10 0.000270 0.000406 0.000581 0.000821 0.001133 0.001521 0.002031
2025-08-17 0.000239 0.000376 0.000562 0.000822 0.001171 0.001614 0.002209
2025-08-24 0.000203 0.000337 0.000524 0.000795 0.001168 0.001652 0.002316
2025-08-31 0.000173 0.000303 0.000491 0.000771 0.001165 0.001689 0.002419
2025-09-07 0.000155 0.000283 0.000475 0.000768 0.001191 0.001762 0.002571
2025-09-14 0.000139 0.000266 0.000462 0.000769 0.001220 0.001839 0.002729
2025-09-21 0.000123 0.000247 0.000444 0.000761 0.001235 0.001897 0.002862
2025-09-28 0.000109 0.000228 0.000424 0.000747 0.001240 0.001940 0.002974
2025-10-05 0.000102 0.000223 0.000426 0.000768 0.001299 0.002061 0.003200
2025-10-12 0.000095 0.000216 0.000424 0.000781 0.001346 0.002166 0.003405
2025-10-19 0.000085 0.000202 0.000410 0.000774 0.001361 0.002225 0.003546
2025-10-26 0.000075 0.000186 0.000392 0.000760 0.001363 0.002265 0.003659
2025-11-02 0.000069 0.000180 0.000388 0.000769 0.001402 0.002359 0.003853
2025-11-09 0.000063 0.000171 0.000380 0.000770 0.001428 0.002436 0.004022
2025-11-16 0.000054 0.000155 0.000358 0.000745 0.001410 0.002442 0.004086
2025-11-23 0.000046 0.000141 0.000337 0.000721 0.001393 0.002451 0.004154
2025-11-30 0.000042 0.000134 0.000329 0.000719 0.001411 0.002513 0.004304
2025-12-07 0.000038 0.000127 0.000322 0.000719 0.001434 0.002583 0.004466
2025-12-14 0.000034 0.000119 0.000312 0.000712 0.001442 0.002630 0.004593